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유상증자 조달자금의 현금저축과 비용지출
The cross-section of cash savings and expensing from SEOs
  • 연구자가 한국연구재단 연구지원시스템에 직접 입력한 정보입니다.
사업명 중견연구자지원사업
연구과제번호 2020S1A5A2A01040598
선정년도 2020 년
연구기간 1 년 6 개월 (2020년 07월 01일 ~ 2021년 12월 31일)
연구책임자 서정원
연구수행기관 성균관대학교
과제진행현황 종료
과제신청시 연구개요
  • 연구목표
  • Background and Motivation
    Equity issuance is an event in which a firm raises a lot of capital from external financial markets. Previous studies document that U.S. firms’ cash holdings have been on the increase since 1980s. The same period has also seen the increase in the type of firms that face high uncertainty and turn to equity issues for financing capital (e.g., Bates, Kahle and Stulz (2009)). Hence, it is natural to imagine a link between U.S firms’ long-term ascension in cash holdings and equity issues.
    The present study is motivated by our skepticism concerning McLean’s (2011) high estimate of cash-savings rate. McLean (2011) posits that U.S. firms save a high proportion of equity issue proceeds (as high as 60 percent) in cash and therefore equity issuances contribute significantly to their large cash holdings. We point out that such estimate is not compatible with some of our existing knowledge of firm behavior. First of all, cash saving or hoarding frequently raises investor concerns regarding agency problems so it is questionable that investors would supply capital to firms that intend to save as much as 60 percent of issue proceeds in cash. Graham and Harvey’s (2001) seminal CFO survey lists ten factors that affect managers’ decision to issue equity, which include equity overvaluation and maintaining target debt-equity ratio, but the list does not include cash saving or hoarding. Walker and Yost (2008) examine equity issuers’ stated uses of funds in registration files and identify three categories of uses: investment, debt repayment and general corporate purposes. So equity issuers’ stated uses of funds do not include cash saving or hoarding.
    We acknowledge that there may be a gap between what firms say and what they do. However, our initial investigation of a sample of equity issuers (over the period 1990-2016) reveals that firms save much less cash than is implied by McLean’s estimate of cash-savings rate.

    We propose the average cash-savings rate (ACSR) as a measure of cash savings: McLean’s measure is the marginal cash-savings rate (MCSR), which is estimated as the coefficient on equity issue proceeds from regression of the change in cash holdings for a given sample of firms. We posit that the average cash-savings rate (ACSR) is a more sensible measure of cash savings from equity issues. The ACSR is defined as the increase in cash divided by issue proceeds (Cashit/PaidInCapit) for an individual equity issue. To shed light on how McLean’s estimate can overstate the actual cash-savings rate, we compare the average and marginal cash-savings rates in equity issuance algebraically and graphically. Our exposition here is analogous to comparing the average and marginal propensities to save out of income in the economics literature. We demonstrate that because equity issuers typically allocate a portion of issue proceeds to uses other than saving cash, the MCSR overstates an issuer’s actual propensity to save (i.e., the ACSR).

    Cross-sectional Determinants of the ACSR: Having established that equity issuers save much less cash than the marginal savings rate implies, we next conduct cross-sectional analysis to determine why some firms save more cash from equity issuance than others. We hypothesize that the propensity to save cash varies with issue size. To test this prediction, we partition our sample of equity issues into quintiles based on issue size as measured by issue proceeds scaled by lagged assets (PaidInCapt/TAt-1). Issue size increases at an increasing rate from Q1 (smallest issues) to Q5 (largest issues), with the size of Q5 issues especially large.
  • 기대효과
  • Our study contributes to the literature on cash holdings and equity issues in several ways. First, we provide evidence that equity issuers’ actual cash-savings rate is much lower than the marginal cash-savings rate implies. An estimated marginal cash-savings rate as high as 0.6 (e.g., McLean, 2011) can be (mis)construed as suggesting that firms prioritize saving or hoarding cash in making equity issuance decisions. Our results indicate that this is not the case, as the average issuer allocates more of its issue proceeds to operating expenses and noncash assets than to saving cash. In particular, our results show that the primary purpose of equity issues is to finance the payment of expenses for small and medium-size issues and to finance large-scale business expansions for large issues. Given that equity issues do not tend to increase cash holdings significantly and any cash increases are only transitory, equity issues are unlikely to be a major source of the long-term increase in U.S. firms’ cash holdings as documented by Bates, Kahle, and Stulz (2009).
    Second, we provide new evidence of wide cross-sectional variation in the extent to which firms save cash from equity issues. Our results suggest that “size” matters, as there is a clear division between small and large issues. Compared to small issues, large issues—especially very large issues—are conducted by firms with high market-to-book and large cash holdings. Moreover, these issues give rise to dramatic increases in operating expenses and temporary hikes in the cash level.
    Third, the present study also enhances our understanding of the motivation behind equity issues, as our findings show that firms use issue proceeds primarily to finance operating expenses, instead of hoarding cash or increasing fixed assets. Previous studies document that equity issues are concentrated among small, high market-to-book, and financially young firms (e.g., DeAngelo, DeAngelo, and Stulz, 2010) and frequently exploit high stock valuations (e.g., Baker and Wurgler, 2002). However, only a few studies analyze the uses of issue proceeds and those studies do not consider expenses (or the increase in expenses) among the uses of issue proceeds.
    Fourth and lastly, our findings have implications for theories on optimal cash holdings, including trade-off theory and agency theory. Trade-off theory of cash holdings assumes that firms stay deviated from optimal cash holdings if the cost of adjustment is greater than the benefit of attaining the optimal level (e.g., Opler et al., 1999). Our findings suggest that whether equity issues move firms toward or away from optimal cash levels is a moot point for small and medium-size issues, as those issues make little impacts on the cash ratios. Meanwhile, large issues (e.g., the Q5 issues) may shift firms’ optimal cash levels, rather than moving those firms toward optimal levels, given that those large issues increase the size of the firm considerably (for example, on average, the Q5 issues more than double the size of the firms’ assets). By analogy, large equity issues move the goalposts rather than moving the firms toward them. In a nutshell, our findings do not suggest that firms seek to move toward optimal cash levels with equity issues, large or small.
  • 연구요약
  • (ABSTRACT based on preliminary results): In this study we demonstrate that equity issuers’ actual cash-savings rates (as measured by the average cash-savings rate) are much lower than high marginal cash-savings rates (e.g., as high as 0.6 in McLean, 2011) imply. On average, the increase in the cash ratio from equity issues is close to zero, as operating expenses are the largest use of issue proceeds. There is a wide cross-sectional dispersion of the average cash-savings rate from equity issues. While small and medium sized issues do not increase the cash ratio, large issues increase the cash ratio greatly, but only temporarily, to finance massive multi-year expense-based business expansions. Additional analyses suggest that the valuation effect of cash increases and the market share effect of large cash holdings (e.g., Faulkender and Wang (2006) and Fresard (2010)) are due in part to these large issuers’ business growth. Overall, firms do not hoard or stockpile cash from equity issues, suggesting that equity issues are not driven by the precautionary motive to save cash or desire to move toward optimal cash levels.

    (Summary of preliminary analyses): Having established that equity issuers save much less cash than the marginal savings rate implies, we next conduct cross-sectional analysis to determine why some firms save more cash from equity issuance than others. We hypothesize that the propensity to save cash varies with issue size. To test this prediction, we partition our sample of equity issues into quintiles based on issue size as measured by issue proceeds scaled by lagged assets (PaidInCapt/TAt-1). Issue size increases at an increasing rate from Q1 (smallest issues) to Q5 (largest issues). We find that the propensity to save cash does indeed vary with issue size, as it increases monotonically from Q1 to Q5 issues.
    To provide evidence on how equity issuers allocate issue proceeds, we assume that issue proceeds are used to (i) increase cash savings, (ii) increase noncash assets, and (iii) increase operating expenses. Our analysis reveals that, except for the largest issues (i.e., Q5 issues), operating expenses represent the largest use of issue proceeds. For the Q5 issues (the exception to this pattern), the cash increase is larger than the expense increase. However, the Q5 issuers increase not only cash but also expenses with their very large issues, which suggests that the Q5 issuers pursue large-scale business expansions that involve dramatic increases in both cash and expenses.
    We conduct several additional analyses to shed more light on our results. First, we regress the average cash-savings rate on an array of variables to identify the factors that drive the cross-sectional variation in the cash-savings rate in equity issues. The regression results suggest that issue size and market-to-book have significant positive effects on the average cash-savings rate. Second, we analyze cash levels in the post-issuance period. Our analyses discussed above reveal that a significant proportion of issuers (particularly those in low and medium issue-size quintiles) do not increase cash, which suggests that cash-hoarding is not behind those issues. In comparison, the largest issues (i.e., Q5) increase cash holdings substantially. However, we find that large issues are followed by rapid declines in the cash-to-assets ratio in subsequent years. Hence, cash increases are transitory, intended to address relatively immediate cash needs (e.g., operating expenses). Taken together, the data do not support the cash-hoarding hypothesis, even for large issues.
결과보고시 연구요약문
  • 국문
  • 본 논문은 2002-2017년 기간 유상증자 시 현금으로 저축되는 비중을 추정하고 현금저축 의사결정에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하여 유상증자 현금저축의 목적이 무엇인가 분석해 보았다.
    상장기업은 신규자금 조달이 필요할 때 주식발행을 통한 자금조달을 고려한다. 기업의 파산위험이 크지 않다면 원금과 이자가 보장된 채권과 달리 주식 투자의 수익률에는 상당한 불확실성이 따른다. 유상증자가 기업의 성장에 기여한다면 주주 가치는 증가할 것이며, 조달 자금의 상당 부분을 현금의 형태로 기업 내부에 유보한다면 주주 가치의 증가를 기대하기 어려울 것이다. 따라서 기업이 유상증자를 통해 조달한 자금을 어떻게 활용하는지는 유상증자에 참여한 주주들에게 중요한 의미를 갖는다. 한국예탁결제원에 따르면 국내 상장기업의 유상증자 건수 및 그 규모는 대체로 증가하고 있다. 2021년 한 해 동안 총 1,346건의 유상증자가 시행되었는데, 그 금액은 약 50.6조 원으로 한국 전체 상장시장 규모의 약 2%에 달한다. 이는 전체 주식시장 규모를 고려했을 때 일 년 동안 시행되는 유상증자의 크기가 작지 않음을 의미한다. 2021년 말 기준 유가증권 시장의 시가총액은 약 2,200조 원이며, 코스닥 시장의 시가총액은 442조 원이다. 따라서 유상증자 규모는 전체 상장시장 시가총액의 약 2%에 해당한다.
    국내외 연구자들은 기업이 유상증자를 통한 조달 자금을 어떻게 활용하는지-특히 유상증자 조달금액 가운데 현금으로 보유하는 금액의 규모가 어느 정도인지-와 관련된 다양한 연구를 진행하였다. 미국 시장을 대상으로 한 연구에서 유상증자의 현금 조달 규모에 대한 분석은 상당히 큰 차이를 갖는다. 일부 학자는 기업들이 유상증자를 통한 조달 자금의 절반 이상을 현금의 형태로 보유한다고 주장하며, 일부 학자는 유상증자 회사들은 조달 자금의 상당액을 유상증자 시행 연도에 지출하고 일부만 현금으로 보유한다고 주장한다. 예를 들어 Kim and Weisbach(2008)와 McLean(2011)은 기업들이 유상증자를 통한 조달 자금 가운데 각각 53% 및 60%를 현금의 형태로 보유된다고 주장한다. 반면, DeAngelo, DeAngelo, and Stulz(2010)은 유상증자 규모 중위기업의 경우 조달자금의 40%정도를 현금으로 보유한다고 보고한다.
    국내기업에 포커스를 맞춘 본 연구에 의하면, 국내기업은 미국 등 해외기업에 비해 유상증자시 현금저축률이 낮으며, 성장을 위한 투자를 위해 현금저축을 하는 동기가 상대적으로 작으며, 예비적 동기를 위해 현금저축을 하는 성향이 더 강한 것으로 나타났다.
  • 영문
  • Equity issuance is an event in which a firm raises a lot of cash from external capital markets. Previous studies document that U.S. firms’ cash holdings have been on the increase since 1980s. The same period has also seen the increase in the type of firms that face high uncertainty and turn to equity issues for financing capital (e.g., Bates, Kahle and Stulz (2009)). Hence, it is natural to imagine a link between U.S firms’ long-term ascension in cash holdings and equity issues.
    Our analysis of the 57-country dataset shows that the mean (median) average cash savings rate in equity issuance is 0.330 (0.249), suggesting that these issuers save 33.0 (24.9) cents for every dollar of issue proceeds in mean (median). This in turn indicates that equity issuers allocate the majority of their issue proceeds to uses other than cash savings. For comparison, the marginal cash savings rate—estimated using McLean’s (2011) regression model—is 0.553, which is much higher than the mean and median average cash savings rates. This is in line with the above reasoning that the marginal cash savings rate overstates the actual savings rates of individual equity issues. We also find that the cash ratio jumps in the issue year but it drops steeply in post-issue years, consistent with DeAngelo et al.’s (2010) observation. This jump-and-reversal pattern is most dramatic in magnitude among large issues. We then estimate regressions of the average cash savings rates in equity issuance. The results show that cash flow uncertainty—as proxied by stock return volatility and cash flow volatility—does not have a significant effect on equity issuers’ cash savings, suggesting that the precautionary motive for saving cash is not a driver of non-U.S. firms’ equity issuance decision. Operating profitability has a positive effect on their cash savings, which does not support the view that equity issuers save more in cash when they are in financial distress. Moreover, equity issuers’ cash savings increase with issue size and market-to-book, suggesting that firms retain more in cash out of issue proceeds, the greater the issue size and the investment opportunities.
    In seeking to explain the steep decline in the post-issue cash ratio, we explore two possibilities: (1) that firms burn through cash quickly and (2) that they achieve rapid asset growth in post-issue years. We find that the post-issue growth of cash holdings (measured by the level of cash balance, not the cash ratio) is positive albeit small and incremental, which does not necessarily suggest that firms quickly burn through the cash retained from equity issuance. Meanwhile, total assets grow steadily each year and ultimately overtake the growth of cash holdings. Therefore, the rapid decline in the post-issue cash ratio can be attributed to equity issuers’ fast asset growth, which mechanically lowers their cash ratio. We also find that the post-issue asset growth is faster the higher the cash savings from issuance and the greater the issue size. Taken together, our observations suggest that the jump-and-reversal pattern of the cash ratio around equity issuance arises because firms stock up on cash from equity issuance in anticipation of greater cash requirements associated with fast post-issue growth.
    I

연구결과보고서
  • 초록
  • (ABSTRACT based on preliminary results): In this study we demonstrate that equity issuers’ actual cash-savings rates (as measured by the average cash-savings rate) are much lower than high marginal cash-savings rates (e.g., as high as 0.6 in McLean, 2011) imply. On average, the increase in the cash ratio from equity issues is close to zero, as operating expenses are the largest use of issue proceeds. There is a wide cross-sectional dispersion of the average cash-savings rate from equity issues. While small and medium sized issues do not increase the cash ratio, large issues increase the cash ratio greatly, but only temporarily, to finance massive multi-year expense-based business expansions. Overall, firms do not hoard or stockpile cash from equity issues, suggesting that equity issues are not driven by the precautionary motive to save cash or desire to move toward optimal cash levels.
  • 연구결과 및 활용방안
  • (1) 유상증자 자금의 절반 이상이 현금으로 저축된다는 McLean (2011, JFE) 연구 결과에 대해 의문을 제기하며, Average cash-savings rate vs. Marginal cash-saving rate의 개념 비교를 통해 McLean의 주장이 논리와 실증 면에서 심한 오류가 있다고 논증합니다.
    (2) McLean 의 연구는 유상증자-현금저축 주제에서 가장 중요한 선행연구 중의 하나이기 때문에 그 오류를 밝히는 본 연구는 굉장히 중요한 가치가 있다고 판단됩니다.
    (3) 또한 선행연구는 유상증자 자금의 사용대상으로 operating expense를 고려하지 않은바, operating expense가 가장 주된 사용처라는 점을 밝히는 면에서도 본 논문은 큰 가치가 있습니다.
    (4) 향후 Average cash-savings rate와 expensing 에 대한 국제연구와 주가수익률과의 관계 분석 등 후행연구들을 촉진시킬 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • 색인어
  • 유상증자, 현금저축, 비용지출, 보유현금, 예비적 동기, 기업성장
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